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Darlene Creamer

By Darlene Creamer

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FOUR THE PEOPLE

3rd November 2023

Given how divisive both rugby and the Springboks were in the not-so-distant past, it is quite remarkable that the national team has become such a unifying force when divisions are growing in so... 


DOG WHISTLER: With no sense of irony, Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe continues to champion gas exploration and development while fighting internal Cabinet power struggles using the analogy of the warning that mice offer when running away from dangerous levels of methane underground. This, while continually blowing a dog whistle against non-governmental organisations that have done little more than insist that government stick to its own laws and policies. He’s whistling a wrong and dangerous tune.

DOG WHISTLER

27th October 2023

With no sense of irony, Minerals Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe continues to champion gas exploration and development while fighting internal Cabinet power struggles using the analogy... 


RED CARD: The Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF), which is meant to support workers who lose their jobs, stands accused of serious foul play, with organised business and labour having both called for the fund to be placed under immediate administration. Besides alleged operational dysfunction, there is also deep unhappiness over the UIF’s decision to invest R5-billion in a well-connected company, Thuja Capital, which was hastily registered days before the award to pursue an “untested concept” to create jobs.

RED CARD

20th October 2023

The Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF), which is meant to support workers who lose their jobs, stands accused of serious foul play, with organised business and labour having both called for the fund... 


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FALLING SHORT

13th October 2023

The day after the National Development Plan was officially launched on August 15, 2012, was one of the darkest in South Africa’s history and the darkest since the advent of democracy. On August 16,... 


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EXTREME FORECAST

6th October 2023

As South Africa’s 2024 election approaches, the is a huge incentive for the incumbents to ramp-up spending and to announce new projects and initiatives. The problem they have this time round is... 


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PRESSURE COOKER

29th September 2023

South Africa’s national accounts are facing pressures from every angle. With growth still flatlining on the back of extreme loadshedding, a collapse in freight rail and many municipal services,... 


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TRAIN WRECK

22nd September 2023

The collapse in the performance of Transnet is well documented. The State-owned freight logistics group has been left broke and broken and there are growing indications that it too will be seeking... 


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IRRESISTIBLE FORCE PARADOX

15th September 2023

With elections looming, the governing party is unlikely to want to pull in its spending horns. However, the National Treasury is warning that it needs to do just that to avoid a looming debt... 


SANDS OF TIME: The Koeberg life-extension project is running years late and, with ongoing contractor claims, its final budget remains uncertain. For the nuclear plant to operate beyond July 2024, many more physical and licence-compliance steps are still required, including the separation of the unit licences to allow Unit 2 to remain operational until the end of 2025. The regulator is said to have many questions and it is possible that, despite all the money and effort, Koeberg could be shut for a protracted period from the middle of next year.

SANDS OF TIME

8th September 2023

The Koeberg life-extension project is running years late and, with ongoing contractor claims, its final budget remains uncertain. For the nuclear plant to operate beyond July 2024, many more... 


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RELUCTANT REFORMER

1st September 2023

Government continually finds reasons, real and imagined, for failing to follow through with the structural reforms that have been identified as urgent to place the country on a growth pathway. The... 


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HEAT IS ON

25th August 2023

The Copernicus Climate Change Service has confirmed July to have been the hottest month on record, with a global average temperature of 16.95°C surpassing the previous record set in 2019 by 0.33°C.... 


UPHILL STRUGGLE: While Some Eskom coal power stations are operating more stably and various private generation projects are offering some relief, loadshedding continues to weigh down the real economy. Manufacturers, farmers and miners don’t only face production disruptions but those reliant on domestic sales are facing the added problem of weak downstream demand as production shifts are curtailed and response to the cuts. Those reliant on exports, meanwhile, then face the added stress of a failing fright logistics network. It’s a real Sisyphean task.

UPHILL STRUGGLE

18th August 2023

While Some Eskom coal power stations are operating more stably and various private generation projects are offering some relief, loadshedding continues to weigh down the real economy.... 


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STOP GAP

11th August 2023

In many of Gauteng’s affluent suburbs it has become common to see banners highlighting resident-funded works programmes to fix potholes, cut grass and repair pavements. At a national level, similar... 


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EXPLOSIVE DECLINE

4th August 2023

Residents and businesses that fall within the boundaries of the City of Johannesburg have always known that the council’s old slogan ‘a world-class African city’ was more aspirational than factual.... 


BURNING PLATFORM: The torching of more than 20 trucks in KwaZulu-Natal, Limpopo and Mpumalanga brought back nasty memories of the July 2021 riots, which shook South Africa to its core. The motives are not immediately clear, but it appears that the actions go beyond toxic xenophobia and mafia-style muscle flexing and include an element of political intimidation, even terrorism. What is clear is that the torchings – together with sabotage at Eskom and Transnet, as well as construction-site hijacking – are further undermining investor confidence.

BURNING PLATFORM

28th July 2023

The torching of more than 20 trucks in KwaZulu-Natal, Limpopo and Mpumalanga brought back nasty memories of the July 2021 riots, which shook South Africa to its core. The motives are not... 


ANTI-SOCIAL MEDIA

ANTI-SOCIAL MEDIA

21st July 2023

Much of the hostility between Twitter’s Elon Musk and Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg ahead of the launch of Meta’s Threads tended to combine toxic masculinity with ego-fuelled bravado, epitomised by the... 


DESTRUCTIVE FORCE: Whether it was a tornado or a landspout the strong winds associated with the recent weather phenomenon that hit Inanda and Phoenix, in KwaZulu-Natal, left a deadly trail of destruction in its wake. As with the climate crisis, which is leading to more frequent and extreme weather events, South Africa’s youth unemployment rate is building with catastrophic force. The most recent Quarterly Labour Force Survey shows that youth aged 15 to 24 years and 25 to 34 years recorded the highest unemployment rates of 62.1% and 40.7% respectively, against an overall official rate of 32.9%.

DESTRUCTIVE FORCE

14th July 2023

Whether it was a tornado or a landspout the strong winds associated with the recent weather phenomenon that hit Inanda and Phoenix, in KwaZulu-Natal, left a deadly trial of destruction in its wake.... 


BREAKING POINT: In the years preceding the start of the loadshedding crisis in 2007, electricity commentators would regularly warn that the distribution sector was emerging as South Africa’s weakest link. That reality was masked by the subsequent collapse in performance of Eskom’s generation fleet and the delay to the megaprojects meant to close the supply gap. That mask has now started to slip, with distribution-level faults having become far more frequent and much longer in duration and are arguably causing more disruption to business and households than loadshedding.

BREAKING POINT

7th July 2023

In the years preceding the start of the loadshedding crisis in 2007, electricity commentators would regularly warn that the distribution sector was emerging as South Africa’s weakest link. That... 


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BAND-AIDS & BAILOUTS

30th June 2023

Although there is a degree of acceptance that South Africa needs to restructure its highly unequal health system, there is nevertheless genuine concern over the proposed National Health Insurance... 


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DANGEROUS DECLINE

23rd June 2023

While it is positive that the Blue Drop, Green Drop and No Drop reports are again being published after a gap of several years, the reports themselves point to a worrying decline in the status of... 


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GRID-LOCKED

16th June 2023

A lack of investment into South Africa’s grid over the past number of decades is at last being recognised as a major constraint to the integration of much-needed new generation, such as the wind... 


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DARK HUMOUR

9th June 2023

South Africans are known to use humour as a coping mechanism against many of the difficulties they face, from nonsensical political statements to corruption and incompetence. Citizens have become... 


DARK CLOUD: South Africans can see and feel the devastating effects of daily power cuts on their lives and livelihoods. By contrast, the country’s literacy crisis is far less visible but its impacts are likely to be even more devastating if not addressed. The 2021 Progress in International Reading and Literacy Study shows that the percentage of Grade 4 learners, children aged either nine or ten years old, who cannot read for meaning in any language has increase to over 81%. In 2016, the figure stood at 78%.

DARK CLOUD

2nd June 2023

South Africans can see and feel the devastating effects of daily power cuts on their lives and livelihoods. The country’s literacy crisis, by contrast, is far less visible but its impacts are... 


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CHOPPY WATERS

26th May 2023

At the time of writing, there was still no clarity as to whether South African defence equipment or ammunition had been loaded onto the Russian cargo vessel the Lady R, when it docked at the... 


DANGER SIGNS: South Africa’s non-aligned foreign policy stance was relatively straightforward to maintain when the world was globalising and democratising. Conditions have turned decidedly hostile in recent years, however, with geopolitical tensions manifesting not only in trade wars but in real ones. If South Africa is to sustain its approach, it will need to become far more proactive in defining what it means rather than reacting to developments in a way that could see it either sliding unwittingly into one or other camp, or becoming entirely irrelevant on the international stage.

DANGER SIGNS

19th May 2023

South Africa’s non-aligned foreign policy stance was relatively straightforward to maintain when the world was globalising and democratising. Conditions have turned decidedly hostile in recent... 


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MIXED MESSAGES

12th May 2023

The appointment of a dedicated Minister of Electricity was meant to ensure there was an individual to focus full-time on ending loadshedding and ensuring that the widely consulted Energy Action... 


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WINTER WARNING

5th May 2023

While there has been a Game of Thrones-like tussle over the precise role that South Africa’s Electricity Minister will play, Dr Kgosientsho Ramokgopa has become pretty consistent on one issue: the... 


BRIGHT SIDE OF LIFE: Even for those who have been living through the decline and have, thus, become somewhat oblivious, the dismal state of South Africa’s infrastructure is now almost impossible to ignore. Be it collapsed power pylons, railways stations stripped to concrete ruins, chronic cable theft, or the potholes that pockmark just about every road, the decay is frighteningly visible. For President Cyril Ramaphosa, and perhaps some particularly robust entrepreneurs, there’s an upside. “There are indeed opportunities in this crisis,” he told investors at the fifth Investment Conference earlier this month.

BRIGHT SIDE OF LIFE

28th April 2023

Even for those who have been living through the decline and have, thus, become somewhat oblivious, the dismal state of South Africa’s infrastructure is now almost impossible to ignore. Be it... 


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FLIP FLOPS

21st April 2023

The termination of the electricity state of disaster and the withdrawal of a poorly worded Gazette notice exempting Eskom from having to include details of irregular, fruitless and wasteful... 


TROLLEY HAS BOLTED: The decision by the Competition Commission to probe price hikes across a basket of five fruits and six vegetables is understandable, given the level of food inflation over the past year. However, it is also a case of the trolley having already bolted and it is far from clear what impact the inquiry will have on the current cost-of-living crunch. A report on the findings of the investigation is scheduled for only September 2024, by which time conditions are likely to be materially different.

TROLLEY HAS BOLTED

14th April 2023

The decision by the Competition Commission to probe price hikes across a basket of five fruits and six vegetables is understandable given the level of food inflation over the past year. However, it... 


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HARD TIMES

7th April 2023

South Africa has entered a period that could be categorised as stagflation, whereby extremely weak economic growth is combining toxically with rising inflation and extreme unemployment. The... 


WAVES OF PAIN: It has been an incredibly difficult start to the year, with intense loadshedding and a spike in crime having left individual and investor confidence decidedly soggy. While there have been improvements in the performance of some Eskom power stations, high utilisation factors leave these plants vulnerable as demand gets set to rise during winter. On the social and political fronts, meanwhile, things often heat up in South Africa as temperatures dip, particularly when there are outstanding wage negotiations, and elections loom.

WAVES OF PAIN

31st March 2023

It has been an incredibly difficult start to the year, with intense loadshedding and a spike in crime having left individual and investor confidence decidedly soggy. While there have been... 


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BOILING POINT

24th March 2023

The right to protest is an essential part of any democracy. Sadly, protest action in South Africa is increasingly synonymous with acts of violence, intimidation and the destruction of property.... 


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MEGA PROJECT

17th March 2023

Newly-appointed Minister of Electricity, Kgosientsho Ramokgopa, seems to have embraced the ‘project manager’ title that many commentators felt Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe... 


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SHOCKWAVES

10th March 2023

The shockwaves from André de Ruyter’s damning interview with eNCA continue to reverberate. While calls from the implicated African National Congress for De Ruyter to name names were predictable,... 


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JUGGLING ACT

3rd March 2023

JUGGLING ACT: Even without the early departure of André de Ruyter, the Eskom board would have always struggled to find a permanent replacement before the end of March. What became clear from De... 


BLUNT INSTRUMENT

BLUNT INSTRUMENT

24th February 2023

It is far from clear what good will come from the decision to declare South Africa’s long-running electricity crisis a State of Disaster. That’s not to say loadshedding isn’t a disaster, it most... 


SHOOTING SELF IN FOOT: The recent mining gathering in Cape Town once again highlighted the failure of government and its State-owned companies to provide the policy, administrative and infrastructure frameworks and capacity needed to take full advantage of existing mining activity, as well as to stimulate the exploration needed to unlock the next generation of critical minerals. Collapsing rail and power networks, together with dismal law enforcement, saw the country missing out on the most recent commodity boom. And the lack of a functional cadastre means that it could well miss out on the next one too.

SHOOTING SELF IN FOOT

17th February 2023

The recent mining gathering in Cape Town once again highlighted the failure of government and its State-owned companies to provide the policy, administrative and infrastructure frameworks and... 


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STATE OF NATIONAL ANXIETY

10th February 2023

Moves towards declaring South Africa’s 15-year-old power crisis as a State of National Disaster has raised more anxiety than the recent tiger escapes in Gauteng. These fears are well-founded given... 


PULLING THE RUG

PULLING THE RUG

3rd February 2023

The call by President Cyril Ramaphosa for the Eskom board to consider ways of postponing the 18.65% tariff increase approved recently by the regulator, has received support from cash-strapped and... 


SINKING FEELING: Given internal ANC political dynamics, it looks like it will be difficult to reverse the decision to move the large State-owned enterprises from the Department of Public Enterprises to their line departments. For Eskom, such a shift is particularly problematic, as it will further blur the policy lines between what is good for Eskom as opposed to the electricity supply industry as a whole – and there is a clear divergence. From a governance perspective, it’s akin to moving the deck chairs while the ship sinks.

SINKING FEELING

27th January 2023

Given internal ANC political dynamics, it looks like it will be difficult to reverse the decision to move the large State-owned enterprises from the Department of Public Enterprises to their line... 


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