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Darlene Creamer

By Darlene Creamer



MIND BLOWING: The subconscious mind is that part of one’s awareness that influences thoughts, feelings, and actions without one being fully conscious of that influence. It’s not entirely clear whether it was that or some form of reverse psychology that prompted President Cyril Ramaphosa, who is also ANC president, to extol the relative management virtues of DA-run municipalities in his dressing down last month of thousands of ANC councillors.

MIND BLOWING

3rd October 2025

The subconscious mind is that part of one’s awareness that influences thoughts, feelings, and actions without one being fully conscious of that influence. It’s not entirely clear whether it was... 


DRIP FED: The water crisis being experienced in many parts of South Africa, including in metropolitan areas of Gauteng, has replaced loadshedding as the biggest problem and source of anxiety for residents. But it’s not only the lack of water that is the problem, it’s also a communications crisis. Rand Water’s communication is simply abysmal, leaving councils to drip-feed residents with information. There are no early-warning systems in place and when the taps run dry, so does the flow of information.

DRIP FED

26th September 2025

The water crisis being experienced in many parts of South Africa, including in metropolitan areas of Gauteng, has replaced loadshedding is the biggest problem and anxiety confronting residents. But... 


BOARD FALLOUT: Developments at the South African Nuclear Energy Corporation, or #Necsa, have been explosive of late. Disquiet, disagreements and even legal action over the way remuneration policies had been implemented by the CEO led to mass resignations that left the board inquorate. There is also a worrying allegation that the financial position may have been misrepresented.

BOARD FALLOUT

19th September 2025

Developments at the South African Nuclear Energy Corporation, or Necsa, have been explosive of late. Disquiet, disagreements and even legal action over the way remuneration policies had been... 


SHOCKING: When the latest round of electricity tariffs were announced earlier this year, Eskom immediately raised questions about whether the methodology had been applied correctly. Once the reasons were published, the utility approached the courts for a review, claiming errors by the regulator, or Nersa, which has been on the wrong side of several legal rulings, acknowledged error and subsequently reached a R54-billion settlement, for which consumers will now pay.

SHOCKING

12th September 2025

When the latest round of electricity tariffs were announced earlier this year, Eskom immediately raised questions about whether the methodology had been applied correctly. Once the reasons were... 




ON TRACK: Significant progress has been made in opening the Transnet rail network to private train operating companies (TOCs). Transport Minister Barbara Creecy has announced that 11 TOCs that applied earlier in the year to operate routes on Transnet’s rail network have met the requirements to do so and will now enter into contract negotiations to enable them to begin operating multiple routes (see also page 32).

ON TRACK

5th September 2025

Significant progress has been made in opening the Transnet rail network to private train operating companies (TOCs). Transport Minister Barbara Creecy has announced that 11 TOCs that applied... 


PERILOUS RIDE

PERILOUS RIDE

29th August 2025

While the US tariffs on automotives and automotive components have piled on the pressure, South Africa’s domestic industry is at a dangerous crossroads as it faces multiple threats. Besides a... 


SURGERY VS CONVENTION

SURGERY VS CONVENTION

22nd August 2025

It would be fantastic if, through dialogue, South Africans could genuinely unite behind a common vision and programme. However, the National Dialogue is at odds with the prevailing national mood,... 


TRADING SPACES: South Africa’s objective of diversifying its export markets in light of a rise in protection, prompted primarily by US President Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda, is a correct one. Implementing the strategy, however, will be far more challenging and could well pose new risks. In the scramble to find alternative markets, South Africa must not rush into deals it could regret in future.

TRADING SPACES

15th August 2025

South Africa’s objective of diversifying its export markets in light of a rise in protection, prompted primarily by US President Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda, is a correct one.... 


HAIR RAISING: The impact of the tariffs being imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration on most countries, including South Africa, will probably not be felt immediately. Over time, however, the costs to American consumers and export-oriented countries and companies could be high. Most costly, arguably, is the damage it has caused to the multilateral rules-based system, with trade now at the mercy of short-term dealmaking where tactics always trump strategy.

HAIR RAISING

8th August 2025

The impact of the tariffs being imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration on most countries, including South Africa, will probably not be felt immediately. Over time, however, the costs to... 


REFORM WRANGLES: Business Leadership South Africa CEO Busisiwe Mavuso offered this scathing assessment of Transnet following a recent decision by S&P Global to downgrade its credit rating: “S&P is calling out what has become clear to many of us – Transnet is seemingly resisting change and moving too slowly.” Transnet, on the other hand, insists progress is being made. Expect these wrangles to continue in both power and logistics as Eskom and Transnet struggle to face up to competition.

REFORM WRANGLES

1st August 2025

Business Leadership South Africa CEO Busisiwe Mavuso offered this scathing assessment of Transnet following a recent decision by S&P Global to downgrade its credit rating: “S&P is calling out what... 


FRAYING LINE: Recent developments in the South African Police Service and the political ecosystem that surrounds it are not entirely surprising. Organised syndicates that seem to abound locally will always seek to protect themselves by cultivating relations with powerful police officers and politicians. These developments, together with what is clearly a serious integrity crisis in the criminal justice system, are nevertheless shocking and pose a genuine threat to democracy.

FRAYING LINE

25th July 2025

Recent developments in the South African Police Service and the political ecosystem that surrounds it are not entirely surprising. Organised syndicates that seem to abound locally will always seek... 




DIALOGUE KNOT: Few truly have much hope that the National Dialogue will yield the solutions needed to put out the fires associated with the country’s paltry growth and deep-rooted social problems. It has also now become something of a political knot after the firing of the Democratic Alliance’s Andrew Whitfield for a travel indiscretion. Those who dislike the current composition of the Government of National Unity will, no doubt, help fan the flames.

DIALOGUE KNOT

18th July 2025

Few truly have much hope that the National Dialogue will yield the solutions needed to put out the fires associated with the country’s paltry growth and deep-rooted social problems. It has also now... 


WORRYING SIGNS: A recent Human Sciences Research Council survey showed that most adults are concerned that political parties are being influenced by donations from wealthy elites. This, despite low levels of support for laws such as the Political Funding Act. The apparent contradiction most likely stems from growing dissatisfaction with the political and democratic status quo, which the survey also confirmed.

WORRYING SIGNS

11th July 2025

A recent Human Sciences Research Council survey showed that most adults are concerned that political parties are being influenced by donations from wealthy elites. This, despite low levels of... 


HOWZAT

HOWZAT

4th July 2025

South Africa’s Proteas made history at Lord’s in London last month when Temba Bavuma led his team to an historic victory over their Australian rivals, who were strongly favoured to win the one-off... 


FACTS & STATS: While it is not certain whether the renowned American writer Mark Twain really said: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics”, the following quote is also often attributed to him: “Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are pliable.” The pliability of South Africa’s own unemployment statistics is now under the spotlight after Capitec CEO Gerrie Fourie questioned Statistics South Africa’s figures, despite these being based on a methodology that is far more orthodox than Fourie’s.

FACTS & STATS

27th June 2025

While it is not certain whether the renowned American writer Mark Twain really said: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics”, the following quote is also often attributed... 


FUTURE IMPERFECT: The immediate threat of the so-called ‘gas cliff’ may be mitigated through a proposed move by Sasol to divert some methane-rich gas, produced synthetically from coal, to industrial consumers until 2030. This will come at a higher cost than current imports from southern Mozambique, but should extend the supply plateau from 2028 to 2030. There is still little certainty what will happen thereafter, though.

FUTURE IMPERFECT

20th June 2025

The immediate threat of the so-called ‘gas cliff’ may be mitigated through a proposed move by Sasol to divert some methane rich gas, produced synthetically from coal, to industrial consumers until... 


METRO MESS: For those living in South Africa’s largest cities, the latest report by the Auditor-General of South Africa was no surprise. Only the City of Cape Town received a clean audit, pointing to ongoing problems with financial management. And where finances fail, so do services, whether water or electricity, waste removal or traffic lights, or the proper maintenance of roads.

METRO MESS

13th June 2025

For those living in South Africa’s largest cities, the latest report by the Auditor-General of South Africa was no surprise. Only the City of Cape Town received a clean audit, pointing to ongoing... 


CONFLICT & DRAMA: Reality shows such as Survivor and The Apprentice, which Donald Trump coproduced, thrive on conflict and drama. South Africans had a front row seat as the now President Trump turned his Oval Office meeting with President Cyril Ramaphosa into a reality show on political steroids. Targeted to domestic voters, world leaders will think twice before doing likewise. But as Maximus in the blockbuster Gladiator yelled after dispatching his opponents with murderous force: “Are you not entertained?”

CONFLICT & DRAMA

6th June 2025

Reality shows such as Survivor and The Apprentice, which Donald Trump coproduced, thrive on conflict and drama. South Africans had a front row seat as the now President Trump turned his Oval Office... 


ON THE EDGE: South Africans have become almost numb to our extreme unemployment scourge. News about the latest deterioration in the official unemployment rate to 32.9% in the first quarter failed, therefore, to send the shockwaves it truly should have. The potential and real social ills that accompany such rates should be keeping us all awake at night.

ON THE EDGE

30th May 2025

South Africans have become almost numb to our extreme unemployment scourge. News about the latest deterioration in the official unemployment rate to 32.9% in the first quarter failed, therefore, to... 


TRADE TUSSLES: The most extreme tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump on ‘Liberation Day’ have been paused and some bilateral ‘deals’ have been struck. Nevertheless, the trading environment is tighter and more uncertain than was the case at the start of the year and there are few immediate prospects of any return to a rules-based system. Instead there is an ever increasing number of flimsy bilateral barter deals.

TRADE TUSSLES

23rd May 2025

The most extreme tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump on ‘Liberation Day’ have been paused and some bilateral ‘deals’ have been struck. Nevertheless, the trading environment is tighter... 


ACTION: It may be the third attempt, but crafting a Budget that meets the expansionary aspirations of some, the demands for cuts by others, while remaining within the debt limits desired by just about everyone else will be an extremely difficult balancing act. What’s more, the growth and, thus, probably the revenue outlook will need to be moderated relative to the February projections to remain credible.

ACTION

16th May 2025

It may be the third attempt, but crafting a Budget that meets the expansionary aspirations of some, the demands for cuts by others, while remaining within the debt limits desired by just about... 


NEW PERIL: South Africa was hoping to begin breaking free from its low-growth trap this year. It avoided what would have been another self-inflicted wound by allowing the spat over VAT to break up the Government of National Unity. But the uncertainty created by the tariff wars could well knock us down yet again.

NEW PERIL

9th May 2025

South Africa was hoping to begin breaking free from its low-growth trap this year. It avoided what would have been another self-inflicted wound by allowing the spat over VAT to break up the... 


STEEL ECHOES: The similarities in the debate over the future of British Steel, in Scunthorpe, England, and ArcelorMittal South Africa’s Newcastle Works, in KwaZulu-Natal, are striking. While production and jobs at the UK plant have been saved through government taking control, the current Newcastle reprieve is being paid for by the State-owned Industrial Development Corporation. In both cases, though, the longer-term outlook is unclear.

STEEL ECHOES

2nd May 2025

The similarities in the debate over the future of British Steel, in Scunthorpe, England, and ArcelorMittal South Africa’s Newcastle Works, in KwaZulu-Natal, are striking. While production and jobs... 


Cartoon image

WREAKING HAVOC

25th April 2025

WREAKING HAVOC: President Donald Trump’s supporters continue to insist he has a coherent and workable economic vision and plan. Economists are sceptical, however, and markets, which admittedly tend... 


EXTREME RIDE: Those in business who previously believed that President Donald Trump’s most extreme instincts would be tamed by stock market reactions and/or unfavourable polls have been rudely awakened by his disastrous tariff announcements. With the internal guardrails having been dismantled in the sycophantical Trump 2.0 executive, many now fear the worst.

EXTREME RIDE

18th April 2025

Those in business who previously believed that President Donald Trump’s most extreme instincts would be tamed by stock market reactions and/or unfavourable polls have been rudely awakened by his... 


TARIFF WALL: Ahead of his first Presidential term, Donald Trump campaigned on building a wall on the US-Mexico border that he insisted Mexicans would pay for. In his second, the US President is building tariff walls and insisting that the costs will be borne by the exporting countries. Economic history and theory show that US businesses and consumers will be the ones paying the initial costs, however.

TARIFF WALL

11th April 2025

Ahead of his first presidential term, Donald Trump campaigned on building a wall on the US-Mexico border that he insisted Mexicans would pay for. In his second, the US President is building tariffs... 


PRESSURE COOKER: Even those who claim to be “tuning out” for fear of “news burnout” are unconsciously aware that the world has entered a perilous new era. That’s not to say change is not needed as the world chafes at its old-normal seams. But there is a risk that some of the changes will have calamitous consequences, as the most powerful cook in the geopolitical kitchen turns up the heat and shows little appetite for pressure regulation.

PRESSURE COOKER

4th April 2025

Even those who claim to be “tuning out” for fear of “news burnout” are unconsciously aware that the world has entered a perilous new era. That’s not to say change is not needed as the world chafes... 


BRIGHT SPOT

BRIGHT SPOT

28th March 2025

The geopolitical tornados that arose in the run up to the US Presidential election last year have intensified in their ferocity since the inauguration of President Donald Trump. While peace talks... 


ON AGAIN, OFF AGAIN: With US President Donald Trump having flip-flopped twice on his stated intention to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, markets continue to feel the effects of the uncertainty created. This uncertainty is amplified further by the threat of so-called reciprocal tariffs and in South Africa by the real prospect of being removed as a beneficiary of the African Growth and Opportunity Act.

ON AGAIN, OFF AGAIN

21st March 2025

With US President Donald Trump having flip-flopped twice on his stated intention to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, markets continue to feel the effects of the uncertainty... 


HAT-TRICK

HAT-TRICK

7th March 2025

HAT-TRICK: South Africa’s fedora-wearing Finance Minister, Enoch Godongwana, was told to remove his value-added tax hiking hat by his Cabinet colleagues on February 19, leading to the abandonment... 


TARIFF OVERHANG: While economists are warning that President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs are bad not only for world trade but for American consumers, the White House continues to see them as a core revenue-raising tool as it prepares to cut domestic taxes. The risk of an all-out trade war is, thus, higher than it has been for decades and, worryingly, trade wars are often followed by real ones.

TARIFF OVERHANG

28th February 2025

While economists are warning that President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs are bad not only for world trade but for American consumers, the White House continues to see them as a core... 




PERFORMATIVE DISRUPTION: The first few weeks of President Donald Trump’s second stint in the White House have been accompanied by a paper whirlwind of executive orders, including one that specifically targets South Africa. Designed for maximum effect and disruption, it’s difficult to immediately assess which of the orders can be sustained in the absence of a fully fledged legislative agenda. In the meantime, there is no question that the orders are causing havoc both at home and abroad.

PERFORMATIVE DISRUPTION

21st February 2025

PERFORMATIVE DISRUPTION: The first few weeks of President Donald Trump’s second stint in the White House have been accompanied by a paper whirlwind of executive orders, including one that... 


SHARPIE EDGE: As is the case for many countries currently, South Africa is living in the shadow of President Donald Trump and the sharpie he is using as part of his ‘flood the zone’ executive-order strategy. While many (but not all) of these orders will be stopped in the courts and eventually by Congress, living on the sharpie’s edge is still highly disruptive and distracting.

SHARPIE EDGE

14th February 2025

As is the case for many countries currently, South Africa is living in the shadow of President Donald Trump and the sharpie he is using as part of his ‘flood the zone’ executive-order strategy.... 


BURNING PLATFORMS: Trade, Industry and Competition Minister Parks Tau has an extremely full inbox. He is hoping (possibly against hope) to halt the closure by ArcelorMittal South Africa of its longs division. Tau is also juggling persistent allegations of corruption and mismanagement at the South African Bureau of Standards, trade-disruption risks arising out of the US and Europe and backlash over a proposed new fund to support black empowerment.

BURNING PLATFORMS

7th February 2025

Trade, Industry and Competition Minister Parks Tau has an extremely full inbox. He is hoping (possibly against hope) to halt the closure by ArcelorMittal South Africa of its longs division. Tau is... 


SMOKE & FIRE: Minister in the Presidency Khumbudzo Ntshavheni’s “smoke them out” comments in relation to illegal miners were not simply highly inappropriate for a Cabinet spokesperson but were, for many, repugnant. With a judge having reportedly described her actions in relation to a 2009 municipal tender as “repugnant and devastating”, a thick pall of smoke now hangs over her.

SMOKE & FIRE

31st January 2025

Minister in the Presidency Khumbudzo Ntshavheni’s “smoke them out” comments in relation to illegal miners were not simply highly inappropriate for a Cabinet spokesperson but were, for many,... 


NEW ENTRANTS: With the publication of the long-awaited Network Statement in December, a bidding process is now under way for the first rail routes that have been made available for private train operating companies. A modest 2.4-million tons has been set aside for third parties in a network that is said to have a yearly capacity of 180-million tons. Nevertheless, there is an expectation that the opening could be key to recovering rail capacity to the 250-milion-ton target.

NEW ENTRANTS

24th January 2025

With the publication of the long-awaited Network Statement in December, a bidding process is now under way for the first rail routes that have been made available for private train operating... 


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CRYPTO RISING

17th January 2025

Besides the re-election of Donald Trump and the ongoing devastation in Gaza, Ukraine and Sudan, the incredible performance of crypto currencies, led by Bitcoin, was big news last year. Crypto... 


LOOMING LARGE: There is no escaping the key geopolitical developments that shaped 2024 as the world enters 2025. The attritional war in Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East, especially Gaza, will continue to divide opinion and loyalties. But it’s the second coming of President Donald Trump that will reshape the geopolitical landscape most, with direct implications for South Africa, which will hand over the G20 presidency to the US at the end of next year.

LOOMING LARGE

13th December 2024

There is no escaping the key geopolitical developments that shaped 2024 as the world enters 2025. The attritional war in Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East, especially Gaza, will continue to... 


HARD TO READ: The world has entered a most uncertain period, with hot wars in hot-spot regions having resurrected the spectre of nuclear conflict. Disinformation has played a role in several political disruptions and is undermining efforts to tackle global problems collectively, most notably the climate crisis. The ongoing geopolitical realignment has diplomatic heads in a spin, as does the prospect of President Trump 2.0.

HARD TO READ

6th December 2024

The world has entered a most uncertain period, with hot wars in hot-spot regions having resurrected the spectre of nuclear conflict. Disinformation has played a role in several political... 


TARIFF WALL: President Donald Trump did not build the wall on America’s southern border that he promised ahead of his first term. Nor did he get Mexico to pay for it. He seems strongly committed, however, to building a tariff wall during his second term. Such a strategy could be inflationary in the US and may also have global ramifications, potentially even triggering a costly trade war.

TARIFF WALL

29th November 2024

President Donald Trump did not build the wall on America’s southern border that he promised ahead of his first term. Nor did he get Mexico to pay for it. He seems strongly committed, however, to... 


LONG SHADOW: The election of Donald Trump as America’s next President did not come as a total surprise. Nevertheless, it is still sending global shockwaves that will be felt for at least the coming four years, but probably longer. As with every country in the world, South Africa will have to adjust its approach to relations with the US, which will no longer be guided by issues of principle but rather by a series of piecemeal transactions.

LONG SHADOW

22nd November 2024

The election of Donald Trump as America’s next President did not come as a total surprise. Nevertheless, it is still sending global shockwaves that will be felt for at least the coming four years,... 


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